A Hybrid Fuzzy-Neural System for Egyptian Stock Price Prediction

ثبت نشده
چکیده

In this paper, a hybrid fuzzy-neural system for Egyptian stock price prediction is proposed. In order to help in choosing the right stock mixture with the highest profit within a certain risk factor, a hybrid fuzzy-neural system is applied to significantly save effort and time of portfolio managers and increase the individual investors’ local market understanding by providing buy and sell signals that reflect market sentiments, breaking news and technical analysis expectations. An implemented system has demonstrated a promising performance for the applied test datasets containing 100 Stock Symbol over the past 9 years (January 1999-December 2007). The prediction accuracy of the system is computed by comparing the system predicted results against the actual results of the Egyptian stock market during the test period.

برای دانلود رایگان متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Forecasting Stock Market Using Wavelet Transforms and Neural Networks: An integrated system based on Fuzzy Genetic algorithm (Case study of price index of Tehran Stock Exchange)

The jamor purpose of the present research is to predict the total stock market index of Tehran Stock Exchange, using a combined method of Wavelet transforms, Fuzzy genetics, and neural network in order to predict the active participations of finance market as well as macro decision makers.To do so, first the prediction was made by neural network, then a series of price index was decomposed by w...

متن کامل

Predicting stock prices on the Tehran Stock Exchange by a new hybridization of Fuzzy Inference System and Fuzzy Imperialist Competitive Algorithm

Investing on the stock exchange, as one of the financial resources, has always been a favorite among many investors. Today, one of the areas, where the prediction is its particular importance issue, is financial area, especially stock exchanges. The main objective of the markets is the future trend prices prediction in order to adopt a suitable strategy for buying or selling. In general, an inv...

متن کامل

Fuzzy-neural model with hybrid market indicators for stock forecasting

A number of research had been carried out to forecast stock price based on technical indicators, which rely purely on historical stock price data. Nevertheless, their performance is not always satisfactory. In this paper, the effect of using hybrid market indicators of technical, fundamental indicators and experts opinion for stock price prediction is examined. Input variables extracted from th...

متن کامل

Prediction of Future Stock Close Price using Proposed Hybrid ANN Model of Functional Link Fuzzy Logic Neural Model (FLFNM)

in this paper, the prediction of future stock close price of SENSEX & NSE stock exchange is found using the proposed Hybrid ANN model of Functional Link Fuzzy Logic Neural Model. The historic raw data’s of SENSEX & NSE stock exchange has been pre-processed to the range of (0 to 1). After pre-processing the inputs and forwarded to functional expansion function to perform neural operation. The ac...

متن کامل

Stock Market Modeling Using Artificial Neural Network and Comparison with Classical Linear Models

Stock market plays an important role in the world economy. Stock market customers are interested in predicting the stock market general index price, since their income depends on this financial factor; Therefore, a reliable forecast in stock market can be extremely profitable for stockholders. Stock market prediction for financial markets has been one of the main challenges in forecasting finan...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2013